The Recommendation Phenomenon in China
Jan Van den Bergh, the Shanghai-based president of i-merge/ boondoggle, has published key findings of an online survey that his company and Sinomonitor recently undertook to examine the phenomenon of brand and product recommendation on the Internet in China–something all of us are keenly aware is happening, but for which systematic studies are still rare. Download the .pdf file here. A guy like CIC’s CEO Sam Flemming, of course, has forgotten more about this topic than I’ll ever know; I’d be interested to see what he thinks of the i-merge/Sinomonitor findings.
Van den Bergh concludes that “marketers in China (like probably in the rest of the world) continue to underestimate the power of customer recommendation and
overestimate the power of advertising (and)(in) old media,” and asserts that “…evangelists, influencers, advocates seem to become the real driving force behind big brands. In reality “human media” dwarf what we usually call “media”.
Some of his findings (quoted from the study except for my commentary in italics):
- On average, a Chinese consumer communicates in one month with 8 people about brands. 17% of the consumers however talk about brands with more than 10
people monthly. - Women communicate more than men, but men have a higher influencing power. (That second part strikes me as somewhat counterintuitive!)
- 31% of all respondents in the study are sure their peers bought something that was recommended by them.
- 26% are sure they convinced their peers not to buy a certain brand or to give up [a brand].
- A satisfying brand experience (or a dissatisfying one) is a lot more powerful than positive or negative brand reputation.
- The vast majority of the communication about brands is face2face. Nearly 90% is communicated during conversations.
- Using instant messages and phone calls are also common ways people communicate.
- 80% of the consumers think that the Internet is the most essential medium in their life (followed by 15% for mobile phones).
- The Internet is the most important medium for consumers to learn -for the first time- about a new brand or a new product, followed by TV commercials. (This finding should be good for business!)
- Comparatively, male consumers tend to choose the Internet and the newspapers. Women are a bit more TV-minded.
- Again a vast majority of the respondents also want to stay informed about a brand after they bought it. Again it’s the web that is their preferred medium. (91% of respondents listed the Internet as the preferred medium to stay informed post-purchase, in what was evidently a multiple-answer question)
- [The Internet is] also the most effective medium when they decide to buy a brand. The second most influential medium being their friends.
The survey involved 1200 Internet users ranging in age from 20-24 at the young end and 40-45 at the high. Glancing at the sample, it’s skewed male (59%, whereas according to the last CNNIC survey there were some 47% female Internet users), and older than what would be truly representative; well over half of Chinese Internet users are under 25, but the survey’s sample is only 17% 20-24. It’s also biased toward upper-tier cities; 3rd-tier city respondents account at most for about 14% of the sample, while more than 20% of Chinese Internet don’t even live in cities. And not surprisingly, it’s weighted heavily toward more educated users, with 72% of respondents holding bachelors degrees, and only 28% with junior college or below. Not that there’s anything wrong with this somewhat unrepresentative sample: By my lights it’s a good cross-section of the people most marketers really want to reach by the Internet.
Thanks to Jan–whom I met for the first time at Ad:Tech in Beijing recently, though regrettably we didn’t have much of a chance to speak–for permission to share his report on this blog. He tells me he’ll be sending along the complete report toward the end of the week, and I’ll share some additional findings when I get that.
5 comments thus far
Kaiser, such kind words. I would also like to extend kind words to Jan for an impressive looking study. I look forward to seeing the full report. Van den Bergh is one of the most passionate believers in this topic and opportunities around the Chinese Internet that I have met.
A few comments (ok, more than a few) on points that are particularly relevant to what we see in our work:
RE “# [The Internet is] also the most effective medium when they decide to buy a brand.” The reason this is true from our perspective is because of the massive amounts of messages written about brands by consumers “like you and me” (thus more trustworthy). For example, we now track about 5 million automobile related BBS messages every month, with a significant percentage of these being extremely detailed about addressing particular issues that could make or break a purchase decision.
RE “a vast majority of the respondents also want to stay informed about a brand after they bought it. Again it’s the web that is their preferred medium. (91% of respondents listed the Internet as the preferred medium to stay informed post-purchase)” We have found innumerable unofficial “help desks” where brand fans provide support and answer questions for new users of products. The kind of help you can get from vertical BBS sites (i.e. younet or xcar) is unmatched by vast majority of official support sites or even offline support.
RE “80% of the consumers think that the Internet is the most essential medium in their life” This is because it is the information center AND entertainment center (think net stars, movie/TV show downloads, music downloads).
RE “The Internet is the most important medium for consumers to learn -for the first time- about a new brand or a new product, followed by TV commercials.” Actually, I am not so sure about this one. A TVC or a bus wrap will still get you more exposure than anything on the Internet. For awareness, TV can’t be beat. However, for in depth product understanding and influencing final purchase decision, the web, especially Internet Word of Mouth can’t be beat (at least as a “media”)
RE: “The vast majority of the communication about brands is face2face. Nearly 90% is communicated during conversations.” This may be true, but these conversations around water coolers or in the nong tangs are not archived on the Internet for the ages and found via search engines.
Posted by Sam Flemming on October 29, 2007 at 8:48 pm
Kaiser, the study certainly sounds interesting and its great someone is spending to money to do such kind of research. I am skeptical about some of the numbers though.
When we talk about “80% of the consumers think that the Internet is the most essential medium in their life (followed by 15% for mobile phones)” I look at the internet and mobile phone penetration and scratch my head. Even if we narrow it down to “internet users” instead of “consumers” this result is counterintuitive, to put it nicely. All the surveys I have seen and conducted put the mobile phone far ahead of the internet in term of importance, at least for light and medium internet users.
Posted by Cognito on October 30, 2007 at 10:30 am
Thanks for opening the debate
Your great participating evangelists.
1. First I have to say sorry. I made a mistake in my reporting: the actual age group we covered was 20-45 and not 20-24.
2. The reason why men have more convincing power than women in our study is that the most talked about topics (on the web) are cars, mobile phones and PC. The are usually considered as being “male stuff”. And the risk factor (buying he wrong brand) is greater.
3. Sam is probably right with his remark about the “ vertical BBS sites (i.e. younet or xcar) being unmatched by vast majority of official support sites or even offline support”. It is even an extra argument that proves the importance of the web. I can imagine that these online help desks are the tool when you have specific questions as a user of a product. We did however not ask about help but about “stay informed” which is more passive than actively search for help when you’re in deep s…t.
4. Cognito, the word “consumer” in the study is always to be read as the “intenet users”. We only researched their behavior. That’s why it’s normal to get the result that “80% of the consumers think that the Internet is the most essential medium in their life”. Sam is right. If you and they think “rationally” about this question, the web does it all. You can even phone with your PC – VOIP.
5. “The Internet is the most important medium for consumers to learn - for the first time- about a new brand or a new product, followed by TV commercials.” Why is this finding so strange? A large part of these 172,000,000 Chinese spend less and less time in front of their TV. Chances are that they will more often see a banner FIRST than a TVC. In our sample 33% spend more than 5hrs per day on the web. 11% in between 4-5 hrs and 16% scores 3-4 hrs. The average time online of the sample is 3.6 hrs. Then you indeed have almost no time left to waste in front of TV ☺
Posted by Jan Van den Bergh on October 30, 2007 at 3:33 pm
Hello! Excellent site! Searched a long ago.
Posted by aspislisy on November 11, 2008 at 11:26 am
[...] a very recent report released by i-merge and Sinomonitor, (see more here), 49% of respondents rate the Internet as the biggest influence when it comes to purchase [...]
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